Presentation Handout

Status:	Draft
Source file:	docs/05-business-case/phase-2-interim-case/presentation-handout.md
Sensitivity review:	Completed
Purpose:	Provide a participant handout for the Phase 2 Interim Case session.

Session Purpose

This session is not intended to promote or oppose industrial hemp. It is intended to support a careful discussion about what is known, what remains uncertain and what role, if any, Granite Borders Landcare should consider.

The current evidence base is Phase 2 secondary research only. No primary interviews have been completed and no final business-case recommendation has been made.

Session Flow

Slide	Topic	Slide	Topic
1	Title	11	Interim Porter's Five Forces: what it added
2	Welcome	12	Interim SWOT overview
3	Purpose of the session	13	Strengths
4	Session flow	14	Weaknesses
5	Who is in the room?	15	Opportunities
6	Industrial Hemp 101 by John Muir	16	Threats
7	Phase 2 secondary research: what was done	17	Key gaps
8	From evidence to analysis	18	Phase 2 interim position
9	Phase 2 secondary research: what it covered	19	Potential roles for Granite Borders Landcare
10	Interim PESTLE: what it added	20	Discussion and questions
21	End / thank you

Phase 2 Secondary Research

Phase 2 was a desktop evidence project using government, research, industry and market material. It was decision-focused, neutral and evidence-led. Evidence was assessed from four perspectives:

Perspective	Decision focus
Producer	Whether a reasonable local producer would choose to grow hemp.
Supply Chain	Whether the industry can operate beyond the farm gate.
GBLC	Whether GBLC should invest time, resources or reputation.
Environment	Whether hemp creates net benefit against realistic local alternatives.

Analysis Chain

The presentation moves from secondary research into interim analysis, then into the SWOT summary, unresolved gaps and possible GBLC role options.

Step	Output	What it contains
1	Secondary research	Desktop evidence on regulation, markets, economics, supply chain, regional suitability, environmental claims, stakeholder evidence, gaps and source traceability.
2	PESTLE and Five Forces	Operating-context and industry-structure analysis, including regulation, economics, stigma, infrastructure, buyer power, processor access and substitutes.
3	SWOT	Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats drawn from the secondary research, PESTLE and Five Forces analysis.
4	Gaps and interim position	Decision-critical uncertainties and the current cautious position: targeted research is justified, but grower recommendation is not.
5	GBLC roles	A role spectrum from monitor-only through to leading funded research and extension, subject to capacity, funding and risk appetite.

What Phase 2 Covered

Use the QR code beside the table to open the live Secondary Research section. It contains the detailed Phase 2 pages summarised in the table.

Section covered	One-line description
Regulatory and Definitional Scan	Defines lawful industrial hemp pathways, licensing requirements and compliance constraints.
Market Demand and Product Categories	Separates industrial hemp markets and tests early demand signals without treating interest as proof.
Senate Inquiry Submissions	Captures stakeholder evidence, repeated barriers, validation leads and lived-experience themes.
Economic Confidence Review	Tests whether secondary economic evidence justifies targeted primary validation.
International Industry Context	Compares Australian industry maturity with larger overseas industries and identifies transferability limits.
Producer Economics	Records farm-level cost categories, gross-margin scaffolds and local profitability gaps.
Product Pathway Economic Rough Guide	Lists pathway-specific budget fields and scenario inputs for later financial modelling.
Regional Suitability	Screens climate, agronomy and local transferability issues for Tenterfield and historic Stanthorpe contexts.
Supply Chain	Tests processor access, buyer requirements, logistics and beyond-farm-gate viability.
Environmental Evidence	Separates field-level environmental claims from product-pathway and substitution claims.
Phase 2 Gaps and Risks	Records unresolved evidence gaps, decision risks and controls for the next stage.
Phase 2 Summary Report	Synthesises what Phase 2 has established, what remains unresolved and why targeted primary research is justified.

Open section

SWOT Summary

Category	Summary
Strengths	Lawful pathways, research attention, Stanthorpe evidence lead and GBLC's neutral convening role.
Weaknesses	Commercial proof, buyer terms, processing access, local gross margins and environmental comparators remain unresolved.
Opportunities	Independent validation, decision support, supply-chain mapping, economics templates and environmental comparison.
Threats	Premature investment, optimistic claims, hidden costs, overstated benefits and reputation risk.

Key Gaps

Buyer demand, prices, specifications and volumes	Processor access, capacity, fees and intake terms
Freight-adjusted farm-gate returns	Local gross margins and agronomic suitability
Environmental comparison	GBLC leadership, member and partner appetite

Phase 2 Interim Position

Industrial hemp is lawful and plausible, but Phase 2 does not prove local commercial viability or local net environmental benefit.

The evidence is strong enough to justify targeted primary research. It is not strong enough to justify grower recommendation or public advocacy.

Potential GBLC Roles

Role option	Current interpretation
Monitor	Lowest organisational risk.
Publish	Shares neutral decision-support material without promoting adoption.
Partner	Reduces technical and delivery risk if partners align.
Convene	Could test evidence gaps and member interest.
Lead	Only appropriate if capacity, funding and risk appetite are proven.

Discussion Questions

• Does industrial hemp align with Landcare objectives?
• Are there useful opportunities for members?
• What risks should be considered?
• What information is still needed?
• Is further investigation warranted?

Registers

Source Register	Assumptions Register
Source Register	Assumptions Register